Cheltenham Festival - Day 1

[The H]

ok.. i admit it.. i can't wait..... :bound:

please put all tips/selections into this thread for tuesday's racing....

perhaps we can have an "I'm a better tipster than The H" award :fishing:

I will stick up Inside Edge's 10 year trends for each race soon....

2.00 Letherby & Christopher Supreme Novices' Hurdle (2m 110y)
2.35 Irish Independant Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase (2m)
3.15 Smurfit Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy (2m 110 y)
4.00 William Hill Handicap Chase (3m 110y)
4.40 Cross Country Handicap Chase (3m 7f) [NEW]
5.20 Fred Winter Juvenile Novices' Handicap Hurdle (2m 110y) [NEW]

[Simon T]

Champion Hurdle - MAC'S JOY :bound:

[The H]

2.00 Letherby & Christopher Supreme Novices' Hurdle (2m 110y)

- concentrate on the top half of the betting (5 of last 7 @ 5/1 or less)
- being Irish trained is a plus
- must have won in the season to date (all 10), preferably last time out (8/10)
- 5 & 6 year olds (8/10)
- raced 4 times or fewer (9/10)

PLAY
Akshar
Feathard Lady
Justified
Arcalis - WON @ 20/1

LAY
Marcel - UNPLACED

2.35 Irish Independant Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase (2m)

- pays to lay the favourite (2/10)
- at least 1 win from a 3-4 race season ideal
- concentrate on 5 & 6 y/o (7/10). (5 y/o get a 5lbs weight allowance)
- French breds have won 4 of last 10

PLAY
War Of Attrition
My Will
Foreman
Contraband - WON @ 7/1

LAY
Ulaan Baatar - UNPL

3.15 Smurfit Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy (2m 110 y)

- former course winners a plus
- at least a Grade 2 victory is ideal
- only 2 double digit winners in last decade

PLAY
Back In Front (C&D)
Brave Inca (C&D) - 3RD @ 10/1
Hardy Eustace (champ) - WON @ 7/2jf
Inglis Drever

LAY
Harchibald - 2ND


4.00 William Hill Handicap Chase (3m 110y)

- 8 & 9 y/o (4/5)
- ignore outsides. look around, 10/1 shots
- not carrying more than 11-0
- lightly raced types, with 3m+ form
- horses running well in the Racing Post Chase in Feb (Kempton) have a good chance


4.40 Cross Country Handicap Chase (3m 7f) [NEW]

PLAY
Spotthedifference - WON @ 4/1

5.20 Fred Winter Juvenile Novices' Handicap Hurdle (2m 110y) [NEW]
PLAY
Martin Pipe's runners


small print
this is not necessarily the view of me... :D

[The H]

2.00 - Bet365 paying out on 4 places (Best price for Justified, Marcel, Wild Passion)
2.35 - Paddy Power refund stake if your horse comes 2nd to War Of Attrition
4.40 - Sportingodds, Coral, Paddy Power, Stan James, Bet365 all paying out on 4 places - no excuses.

[The H]

2.00 - My Way de Solzen 10/1; Only Vintage 14/1; Villon 20/1;
2.35 - Watson Lake 8/1 (if softer ground); River City 3RD@ 10/1; My Will 14/1; Ashley Brook 2ND @ 20/1;
3.15 - Macs Joy 7/1 ; Brave Inca 3RD@ 10/1; Al Eile 50/1; Royal Shakespeare 66/1
4.00 - Colourful Life 5/1
4.40 - French Exectutive 7/1
5.20 - Darayal 13/2; Napolitain 25/1

[Simon T]

2.00 Villon (best price 20/1)
2.35 Watson Lake (best price 8/1)
3.15 Macs Joy (best price 7/1)
4.00 Iris Bleu (best price 7/1)
4.40 Comanche War Paint (best price 5/1)
5.20 Daryal (best price 13/2)

[Spender Bee]

2.00 Villon
2.35 My Will
3.15 Rooster Booster
4.00 Joly Bey
4.40 French Executive
5.20 Daryal

[NorthamptonBee]

Damp Squid here, used to have the 3 days off and go with a group of lads for the 3 days. This year not even a day off work!

Champion Hurdle Accordian Etoile 10-1 too big for a horse who will love the ground. Sticks in my mind how he came up the hill earlier this year.

Gold Cup - Throwing money away but Truckers Tavern 100-1 is an insult in a race where how the hell is Kingscliff 9-2 fav? 2nd two years ago in an egg and spoon Gold Cup but probably on par with this lot.

Good luck all.

[BEEWILD]

Damp Squid here, used to have the 3 days off and go with a group of lads for the 3 days. This year not even a day off work!





Thats bad luck NB hopefully a few winners will make up for that ... luckily I am on nights and will be able to see the racing (admittedly blurry eyed)

Anyway ... I don't fancy much on Tuesday apart from River City in the Arkle who I am gonna go heavy on Each Way.

Also a little each way Yankee on Arcalis 2.0, Swansea Bay 4.0, Galapiat Du Mesnil 4.40 and Regal Setting in the lucky last.

Finally a few quid on Graham Lee to be top jock at the meeting!

Hopefully the first three days will give me enough cash to steam into Grey Abbey in the Gold Cup on Friday!!

[The H]

Hopefully the first three days will give me enough cash to steam into Grey Abbey in the Gold Cup on Friday!!

:yes: was 10/1 last night. part of my e/w yankee.

[nocoat]

That is who I have put my £15 e/w FREE bet on :bound:


Look out for free bets dotted about people... £5 in the Evening Standard tonight.. not sure what the deal is yet though :wave:

[Old B]

2.00 - Wild Passion
2.35 - Contraband
3.15 - Macs Joy
4.00 - Iris Bleu
4.40 - Village King E/W
5.20 - Ease The Way (NAP)

[finchbee]

2.00 - Marcel, Dusky Warbler (E/W)
2.35 - Contraband
3.15 - Harchibald
4.00 - Tikram
4.40 - Comanche War Paint
5.20 - Nation State

[The H]

latest:

Kingscliff out of Gold Cup
Medison misses Coral cut by 2

[Walshie]

2.00 - My Way de Solzen

This is my big one of the day. An absolute dead cert. 100%. Cannot fail. It's like picking money up from the pavement. :wave:

[Bee H]

2.00 - My Way de Solzen

This is my big one of the day. An absolute dead cert. 100%. Cannot fail. It's like picking money up from the pavement with a really chronic back ache :wave:

Walshie, I think you missed the last bit of your post off so I've amended it for you - no need to thank me :wave:

[Simon T]

2.00 - My Way de Solzen

This is my big one of the day. An absolute dead cert. 100%. Cannot fail. It's like picking money up from the pavement. :wave:

Just to fill you with confidence ;)

7 of the last 10 winners have had 3 runs or fewer
You have to go back to 1995 to find a horse who has finished out of the first three in one of his prep races that won this race

[The H]

e/w double - looks fairly decent to me

3.15 Hardy Eustace 7/2f (BetDirect, Skybet, Lad, VC)
5.20 Ease The Way 7/1jf (BetDirect, Skybet, Lad, VC)

[Simon T]

If anybody is looking for a decent priced each way shot, try Native Emperor in the 4.00. The horse was good enough to beat Celestial Gold in the 4 mile race here last year so it can be assumed he likes the course and will stay. Currently 28/1 with Stan James.

[The H]

in the same vein Intersky Falcon (3rd last year) is 66/1 for the 3.15.... both of these horses are Jonjo O'Neill trained, and his stable was closed for a good 6 weeks.. but the comeback has to start somewhere


Cherub (40/1) also runs in the 2.00